A. Weaver1, D. Denning1, J. Sanabria1,2,3,4 1Marshall University School of Medicine,Department Of Surgery,Huntington, WV, USA 2Marshall Institute for Interdisciplinary Research (MIIR),Department Of Surgery,Huntington, WV, USA 3Case western Reserve University,Nutrition And Preventive Medicine,Cleveland, OH, USA 4Wasnhington University,Institute For HUman Metrics And Evaluation (IHME),Seattle, WA, USA
Introduction: Cancer related disease is the second Global cause of mortality. As population ages. malignancies may become the most prevalent cause of morbidity and health expenditure. The purpose of the present study is to determine incidence, prevalence and mortality trends of malignant neoplasms from the liver, gallbladder (GB) and pancreas. We also report on disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs), and Years Lost to Disability (YLD).
Methods: The incidence, mortality, DALYs, and YLD by age, gender, year, and geography were found using datasets from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) group, where the epidemiological data obtained were modelled in DisMod-MR 2.1, a Bayesian meta-regression tool which pools data-points from different sources and adjusts for known sources of variability. GBD data was extracted from 284 country-year from 1990 to 2016.
Results: Age-standardized global incidence rates (ASIR) per 100,000 for primary liver and pancreatic cancers rose from 12.49 to 14.55 and 6.11 to 6.37, respectively. Whereas the ASIR for GB decreased from 3.71 to 2.8. Age-standardized global mortality rates (ASMR) decreased for GB from 3.24 to 2.47, but stayed relatively constant for primary liver and pancreatic cancers at 12.54 vs12.13 and 6.19 vs 6.20 respectively. Age-standardized global DALY decreased for all three cancers; liver (331.71 vs 295.2), GB (63.19 vs 47.82), and pancreas (122.7 vs 119.49). Age-standardized global YLD rose slightly for liver cancer from 2.69 to 3.29, stayed the same for pancreatic cancer (1.24 vs 1.30), and felt for GB cancer (0.82 vs 0.63). While the highest ASIR of liver cancer in 2016 was observed in East Asia (34.1), High-Income Asia Pacific (22.94) and Western Sub-Saharan Africa (17.93), for GB cancer was noted in High-Income Asia Pacific (7.95), Southern Latin America (7.66) and Andean America (3.73), and for pancreatic cancer was High-Income Asia Pacific (11.8), High-Income North America (10.6), and Western Europe (9.93).
Conclusion: Global surveillance of HPB malignancies, and in particular changes in subpopulations, may provide with links to potential etiologies as well as stimulate further research. This may also help countries with rising incidences to formulate more effective strategies for prevention, screening, and treatment.