J. A. Davies1, G. Leverson1, C. J. Balentine1, S. C. Pitt1, R. S. Sippel1, D. F. Schneider1 1University Of Wisconsin Madison School Of Medicine And Public Health,Section Of Endocrine Surgery, Department Of Surgery,Madison, WI, USA
Introduction: The incidence of differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC) has increased exponentially over the last 25 years. Small, low risk tumors account for most of this increase. During this same period, the U.S. population continues to age with the average life expectancy of 79 years. In this study, we explored trends in the extent of treatment for DTC over the last 25 years, with a focus on the elderly.
Methods: This study is a retrospective analysis using the Survey Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) database. Patients 20 years and older with thyroid cancer who underwent surgery from 1988 to 2012 were included. Cases were considered low risk if they were either classical papillary or follicular carcinoma, T1 (a or b) N0 M0 by TNM classification, and without extrathyroidal extension. Larger tumors, with unfavorable histology, nodal or distant metastases or extrathyroidal extension were considered high risk. We defined elderly as ≥ 70 years old. Trends in rates of total thyroidectomy (TT), radioactive iodine treatment (RAI) and lymph node dissection (LND) (removal of at least three lymph nodes) were analyzed and compared using chi square test, student's t-test, weighted least square linear regression and multivariate logistic regression where appropriate.
Results: 131,590 cases of DTC met our inclusion criteria and 11.3% were elderly. Overall, rates of TT have increased since 1988 by an average of 0.4% annually. The rate of increase was greater in the elderly compared to the younger cohort (0.58 vs. 0.38%/year, p = 0.02). This disparity between the elderly and younger was most pronounced within the low risk group alone (0.66 vs 0.3%/year, p = 0.03). Through the entire study period, the elderly remained less likely to receive a TT than those under 70 when controlling for all patient and tumor features (OR = 0.66, p < .001).
Rates of RAI increased between 1988 and 2012 by 0.19%/year. Annual rates of RAI treatment averaged 12.4 % lower in the elderly than the younger cohort (p = 0.063). The elderly and younger patients experienced similar rates of increasing RAI treatment (p = 0.99).
Annual rates of LND rose by 0.88%/year. Considering year of diagnosis alone, patients were much more likely to receive a LND in the most recent five years (2008 – 2012) compared to early years (OR 2.33, p < 0.01). Overall, elderly patients were half as likely to receive LND as younger patients in our model (OR 0.52, p < 0.01).
Conclusion: Treatment for DTC has become more aggressive over the last 20 years with increasing use of TT and LND. The elderly experienced this trend, but older age alone was not independently associated with more aggressive treatments. The overall increase in more extensive treatment for low risk tumors warrants improved risk adjusted treatment decisions.